Global climate change is responsible for changes in microhabitat conditions for many species leading to their local extermination, range shift, or even extinctions. About 90 percent of amphibian extinctions reported from all over the world in the last decade is attributed to climate change.
Keeping in view these facts, and to understand the effect of global climate change on reptiles, scientists from Osmania University, Hyderabad, have conducted a predictive modelling study using global standards to climate predicted for the years 2050 and 2070 using the baseline data of the current climatic scenario under two distinct scenarios – first Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 scenario, which predicts that emissions will peak in 2040 and then stabilize, and second Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, which predicts that emissions will continue to escalate past 2100.
“We used the maximum entropy species distribution modelling algorithm to predict the impact of climate change on the Indian endemic Golden Gecko Calodactylodes aureus, which is currently known from 42 locations in Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka,” informed Dr Chelmala Srinivasulu, Assistant Professor of Zoology, Osmania University.
The predictive modelling experiment was conducted by undergraduate student Aditya Srinivasulu of Sardar Patel College, Osmania University which was published recently in the international peer-reviewed Journal of Threatened Taxa. “Our analysis revealed the negative impact of climate change on the Indian Golden Gecko with a decrease in the amount of climatically suitable areas in the future, and an almost total range shrinkage by 2070. Despite its wide distribution in the eastern Deccan Peninsula, according to our predictions, the species is threatened by a shrinkage in the future range due to climate change,” Aditya said, noting further that these negative effects of climate change are apparent amongst many other species worldwide, hence making it necessary for everyone from citizen to policy-maker to factor-in climate change, and make conscious effort to curb our footprint, so as to prevent the loss of important species such as the Indian Golden Gecko.
Dr. Chelmala Srinivasulu
Department of Zoology, Osmania University