US adds a strong 242,000 jobs; rate holds at low 4.9 per cent
US employers added a robust 242,000 workers in February as retailers, restaurants and health care providers drove another solid month for the resilient American job market. The unemployment rate remained at a low 4.9 percent.
US employers added a robust 242,000 workers in February as retailers, restaurants and health care providers drove another solid month for the resilient American job market. The unemployment rate remained at a low 4.9 percent. The gains show that the US economy has weathered a global economic slowdown and falling financial markets without suffering much blowback. The improvement will help ease fears that arose in recent weeks that a new US recession might be looming.
Friday's jobs report from the government is also sure to be closely monitored by the Federal Reserve and presidential candidates as a gauge of how well the economy is extending its 6?-year rebound from the Great Recession. In addition to the healthy job gain for February, the government also revised up its estimates of job growth in December and January by a combined 30,000. Over the past three months, employers have added a strong 228,000 jobs.
"Neither global headwinds, financial turbulence nor political uncertainty has dimmed American business' enthusiasm for hiring," said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets. "The solid jobs report should allay recession fears." Worker pay did slip last month after having picked up in January. But more Americans who had been sitting on the sidelines began searching for jobs last month and found them.
Employers expect solid consumer demand in the months ahead even though the stock market has turned turbulent, oil prices have hurt energy industry jobs and a stronger dollar has reduced export sales. Stock trading opened slightly lower after the jobs report was released. Some economists also suggested that the jobs report created a path for the Fed to raise interest rates again as early as June, according to many economists. The Fed raised rates from record lows in December.
Low unemployment has historically caused the Fed to raise its benchmark rate for short-term lending. But Fed officials have held off after the December increase because of concerns about subpar inflation and the weak global economy. "It's probably a better than a 50 percent proposition that they will raise the rates in June," said Kevin Logan, chief US economist at the bank HSBC.
Retailers added 54,900 jobs last month. Restaurants and bars added 40,200, the health care sector 38,100 and construction companies 19,000. Hiring by employers that are directly associated with consumers has more than offset layoffs at manufacturers and fossil fuel companies - two sectors squeezed by the pressures of uncertainty in China, sluggishness in Europe, declining oil prices and a stronger dollar. Job losses for the mining sector - an area that includes the battered energy industry - have totaled 140,400 in the past 12 months. And manufacturing has added just 12,000 jobs over that time. Consumers have provided the foundation for much of the job market's improvement in what's become something of a self-sustaining cycle. The nearly 2.7 million workers who have been added over the past 12 months have bolstered spending on autos, housing and meals out.
With unemployment remaining low, economists say more companies should begin to raise pay to attract workers, thereby fueling more hiring and increasing people's ability to spend, invest and save.
For years, one of the key weaknesses of the economic recovery has been tepid pay growth. Many of the jobs created in the wake of the Great Recession were in lower-paid occupations - from cashiers, waiters and store clerks to home health aides and temporary workers. But in recent months, wage gains began to tick upward. The increases bolstered hopes that employers were raising pay to keep workers. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have risen 2.2 percent, compared with an annual increase of 1.9 percent a year ago.
Yet between January and February, earnings fell slightly in a setback for workers hoping for further gains. Economists were searching for explanations because wages had begun picking up in recent months.
Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, noted that wages might have slipped last month because the survey for the jobs report occurred before Feb. 15, which is often a payday for people who are paid semimonthly. Wage growth is often tepid when the jobs report survey week doesn't include the 15th of the month, Shepherdson noted.
Still, steady hiring in recent months has translated into more consumer spending in several key sectors. Auto sales rose 7 percent over last February to 1.3 million vehicles, according to Autodata Corp. Purchases of existing homes rose 0.4 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.47 million, according to the National Association of Realtors. That improvement followed a solid 2015, when sales achieved their highest level in nine years.
And spending at restaurants has risen 6.1 percent over the past 12 months. Troubles abroad have tempered US economic growth. China, the world's second-largest economy, is struggling with high corporate debts and slower growth. Oil prices have tumbled amid relatively low demand. The strong dollar has crushed exports, while the stock market has dropped in an extended bout of volatility this year.